IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP) — Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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IPGP fair-value estimate

IPGP earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 373.3K · 3-mo avg 472.2K

IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP)

IPGPIPG Photonics Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$77.73
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$81–83
center $82.21 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.94
7.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.84×
52-week range$69.41 – $155.82
Below high since 2015-70.4% · $263.99 high
Risk / reward0.66 : 1
Plan stop$71.96
Max pain$95.00 options cluster
RSI 1447.9 fires under 35 · fires near $70.79
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple120.2× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past79th pctile · 38.0× median
Free cash flow yield-0.1% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 44% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
47.9
fires under 35 · fires near $70.79
vs 50-day
✓
$82.51
below the line
Bollinger
●
$74.27
no lower pierce · fires near $73.67
VWAP 20
●
$77.23
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $77.19
Entry level
✓
$77.73
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$105.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.67
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
12.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.88
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file