Samsara Inc. (IOT) — Cloud & Infrastructure Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.67M · 3-mo avg 5.48M

Samsara Inc. (IOT)

IOTSamsara Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 2/100 · Nov 9
$42.00
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$47–48
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $47.47 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume28% below normal0.72× its 20-day average
Past year's range$23.38 – $47.47lowest to highest price
From its peak31.8% belowpeak $61.90, highest since 2021
Gain vs. risk1.12 to 1$1.12 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$37.55the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)52.2fires under 35 · fires near $36.72
Accounting warning signs3worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit301.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 6%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 326.9×
Cash it generates0.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 3.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
52.2
fires under 35 · fires near $36.72
vs 50-day
●
$40.74
above the line · fires near $41.12
Bollinger
●
$39.45
no lower pierce · fires near $38.94
VWAP 20
●
$42.11
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $42.09
Entry level
✓
$42.00
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.23
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
9.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.80
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-03
in 17 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file