Samsara Inc. (IOT) — Cloud & Infrastructure Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.20M · 3-mo avg 6.09M

Samsara Inc. (IOT)

IOTSamsara Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 8/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$37.77
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$38–39
center $38.89 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.65×
52-week range$23.38 – $47.47
Below high since 2021-38.7% · $61.90 high
Risk / reward0.22 : 1
Plan stop$33.64
Max pain—
RSI 1445.4 fires under 35 · fires near $33.58
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple253.1× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past97th pctile · 326.9× median
Free cash flow yield0.9% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 3.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
45.4
fires under 35 · fires near $33.58
vs 50-day
✓
$38.75
below the line
Bollinger
●
$36.64
no lower pierce · fires near $36.27
VWAP 20
✓
$39.91
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$37.77
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.27
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.65×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
8.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.07
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-03
in 48 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file