HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) — $183.50 −0.73%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

HCIpeers & supply-chain relationships

HCI fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 117.0K · Avg 177.9K
HCIHCI Group, Inc.$183.50-0.73%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$183.93
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$207–210
center $208.93 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$12.06
6.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~85% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.66× · 117.0K vs 177.9K avg
52-week range$136.37 – $210.50
Below high since 2015-12.2% · $210.50 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.9
Plan stop$170.28
Max pain$135.00 options cluster
RSI 1458.4 fires under 35 · fires near $152.76
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$183.50
$146.80 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.6% · $195.56+6.6%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
58.4
fires under 35 · fires near $152.76
vs 50-day
$172.44
above the line · fires near $173.87
Bollinger
$172.35
no lower pierce · fires near $171.11
VWAP 20
$179.62
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $179.60
Entry level
$183.93
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$150.00
OI strike below · fires near $150.70
MACD
-0.31
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.66×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
4.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.88
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
5 Nov 2026
· in 85 days
Next dividend
USD 0.40
ex-date 2026-08-21
Appears in
prices 15-min delayed