Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) — Residential Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 231.6K · 3-mo avg 355.9K

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK)

GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 19/100 · Nov 9
$66.18
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$69–70
near a heavy call-option level, a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $69.76 · Nov 9
±$5.97
±9.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume33% below normal0.67× its 20-day average
Past year's range$59.12 – $83.18lowest to highest price
From its peak21.4% belowpeak $84.66, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.50 to 1$0.50 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$60.03the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$65.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)55.6fires under 35 · fires near $55.49
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit12.0× next year10.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 97%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 8.3×
Cash it generates7.3%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 2.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 68% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
55.6
fires under 35 · fires near $55.49
vs 50-day
●
$65.75
above the line · fires near $66.37
Bollinger
●
$59.09
no lower pierce · fires near $58.62
VWAP 20
●
$63.10
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $63.10
Entry level
✓
$66.18
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$60.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context✓
+0.55
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.67×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.62
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-24
in 72 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file