Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) — Residential Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 254.3K · 3-mo avg 305.7K

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK)

GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 15/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$68.45
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$69–70
center $69.84 · basis · call wall + daily pivot + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.07
5.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 3% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 3% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.60×
52-week range$60.44 – $83.18
Below high since 2015-18.7% · $84.66 high
Risk / reward0.21 : 1
Plan stop$63.78
Max pain$70.00 options cluster
RSI 1448.2 fires under 35 · fires near $64.52
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple11.5× fwd · 10.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past87th pctile · 8.2× median
Free cash flow yield7.0% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 1.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
48.2
fires under 35 · fires near $64.52
vs 50-day
✓
$70.58
below the line
Bollinger
●
$65.02
no lower pierce · fires near $64.28
VWAP 20
✓
$69.12
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$68.45
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$65.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.08
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.60×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.81
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file