Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) — Packaging & Containers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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GPKpeers & supply-chain relationships

GPK earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 6.04M · 3-mo avg 6.86M

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)

GPKGraphic Packaging Holding Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$11.13
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$16–17
near the 52-week high · midpoint $16.49 · Nov 6
±$1.00
±8.9% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume34% below normal0.66× its 20-day average
Past year's range$8.15 – $16.61lowest to highest price
From its peak63.6% belowpeak $30.70, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk4.37 to 1$4.37 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$9.98the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$10.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)69.5fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit44.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 100%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 12.0×
Cash it generates-2.4%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 3.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 44% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
69.5
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$9.40
above the line · fires near $9.46
Bollinger
●
$6.92
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$9.58
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $9.58
Entry level
✓
$11.13
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.38
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.66×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
9.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.56
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-09
in 63 sessions
Next dividend
3.93% yld
no ex-date on file