Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) — Packaging & Containers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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GPKpeers & supply-chain relationships

GPK fair-value estimate

GPK earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 2.28M · 3-mo avg 5.03M

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)

GPKGraphic Packaging Holding Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 27/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$9.79
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 2.8% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$10.78
center $10.78 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.07
11.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.05×
52-week range$8.79 – $20.76
Below high since 2015-67.9% · $30.70 high
Risk / reward1.28 : 1
Plan stop$9.02
Max pain$10.00 options cluster
RSI 1439.9 fires under 35 · fires near $9.00
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.6× fwd · 14.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past21st pctile · 12.1× median
Free cash flow yield-2.9% · burning cash

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 3.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
39.9
fires under 35 · fires near $9.00
vs 50-day
$10.83
below the line
Bollinger
$8.81
no lower pierce · fires near $8.62
VWAP 20
$10.30
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$9.79
below the model level
Put wall
$10.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.21
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.05×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.39
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-09
in 37 sessions
Next dividend
4.62% yld
no ex-date on file
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