Greif, Inc. (GEF) — Packaging & Containers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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GEF fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 359.7K · 3-mo avg 293.3K

Greif, Inc. (GEF)

GEFGreif, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 15/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$82.25
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$83–84
center $83.78 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.89
5.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.95×
52-week range$55.75 – $90.57
Below high since 2015-8.7% · $90.57 high
Risk / reward0.22 : 1
Plan stop$77.49
Max pain$85.00 options cluster
RSI 1447.4 fires under 35 · fires near $78.54
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple17.3× fwd · 34.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past96th pctile · 8.7× median
Free cash flow yield3.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
47.4
fires under 35 · fires near $78.54
vs 50-day
✓
$83.72
below the line
Bollinger
●
$80.82
no lower pierce · fires near $80.31
VWAP 20
✓
$83.13
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$82.25
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$80.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context✓
+0.02
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.95×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$1.98
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
2.86% yld
no ex-date on file