Greif, Inc. (GEF) — Packaging & Containers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 273.5K · 3-mo avg 346.0K

Greif, Inc. (GEF)

GEFGreif, Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
-1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 78/100 · was 46 on Nov 4 · Nov 90/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$72.15
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$73–75
near a resistance level, a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $74.11 · Nov 6
±$6.81
±9.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 10% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Elevated
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 10% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume27% below normal0.73× its 20-day average
Past year's range$57.73 – $90.57lowest to highest price
From its peak19.9% belowpeak $90.57, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.11 to 1$0.11 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$65.99the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$85.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)28.9oversold
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit15.2× next year33.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 100%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 8.8×
Cash it generates3.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
28.9
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$81.46
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$74.24
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$80.36
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$72.15
level below · fires near $72.86
Put wall
✓
$75.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context●
-1.04
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.73×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.08
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-26
in 52 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.59
ex-date 2026-12-17