Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT) — $164.21 +2.86%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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FTNT fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.17M · Avg 6.10M
FTNTFortinet, Inc.$164.21+2.86%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.6× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$163.39
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$170–174
center $172.09 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$13.20
8.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.68× · 4.17M vs 6.10M avg
52-week range$73.55 – $172.09
Below high since 2015-4.6% · $172.09 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.5
Plan stop$146.75
Max pain$140.00 options cluster
RSI 1458.6 fires under 35 · fires near $138.32
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$164.21
$137.66 · -16.2%-16.2%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.0% · $177.41+8.0%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
58.6
fires under 35 · fires near $138.32
vs 50-day
$153.56
above the line · fires near $154.75
Bollinger
$148.47
no lower pierce · fires near $146.45
VWAP 20
$158.93
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $158.90
Entry level
$163.39
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$160.00
OI strike below · fires near $160.72
MACD
+0.04
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.68×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.34
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 85 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed