Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) — Copper Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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EROpeers & supply-chain relationships

ERO fair-value estimate

ERO earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.00M · 3-mo avg 1.49M

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO)

EROEro Copper Corp.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 86/100 · was 88 on Nov 3 · Nov 61/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$28.72
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$34–35
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $34.36 · Nov 6
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 16% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 16% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume31% below normal0.69× its 20-day average
Past year's range$20.61 – $40.83lowest to highest price
From its peak29.3% belowpeak $40.83, highest since 2021
Gain vs. risk1.21 to 1$1.21 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$24.31the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)37.6fires under 35 · fires near $28.24
Price vs. profit6.1× next year7.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 16%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 18.6×
Cash it generates3.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 2.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
37.6
fires under 35 · fires near $28.24
vs 50-day
✓
$34.48
below the line
Bollinger
●
$26.88
no lower pierce · fires near $26.33
VWAP 20
✓
$31.44
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$28.72
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.27
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.69×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$1.83
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-03-04
in 79 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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