Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionPCE inflation days · ~18% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$195.13
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$219–223
center $220.78 · basis · bb upper + high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$14.00
7.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.79×
52-week range$101.20 – $220.78
Below high since 2015-11.5% · $221.67 high
Risk / reward1.45 : 1
Plan stop$177.49
Max pain$195.00 options cluster
RSI 1449.2 fires under 35 · fires near $170.19
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple26.3× fwd · 28.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past74th pctile · 22.4× median
Free cash flow yield2.2% · of market value
Trading in line with its own normal, price down 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.
Entry strategy · 10 triggers
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
Momentum gauge, 0–100. A low reading describes losses dominating recent gains; it does not predict a reversal. Recomputed at the what-if price from the served daily tape.
RSI 14
●
49.2
fires under 35 · fires near $170.19
vs 50-day
The average close across 50 sessions. Trading at or below it describes price location versus the recent trend; it is not evidence that buyers will defend the line.
vs 50-day
●
$191.25
above the line · fires near $193.04
Bollinger
A 20-session volatility envelope. A lower-band pierce describes an unusually low price relative to that recent distribution; it does not guarantee mean reversion. The band re-forms around the what-if price.
Bollinger
●
$184.29
no lower pierce · fires near $181.92
VWAP 20
A 20-session rolling VWAP approximated from daily typical price and volume, not an intraday session anchor. Being below it is a price-location descriptor, not a forecast.
VWAP 20
✓
$204.95
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
The entry reference published by the audited level composer from the stock's support zone. It is a model level, not an instruction or guaranteed floor.
Entry level
✓
$195.13
within 1% of model level
Put wall
The strike with the largest put open interest in the stored chain snapshot. It is an options-positioning reference, not verified price support.
Put wall
●
$180.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Momentum-shift gauge shown as context, not part of the alignment rule. Recomputed at the what-if price when the served daily tape is usable.
MACD
Context●
-2.90
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVol
Volume so far today, projected to a full session, against this name's own average over the last 20 sessions. Above about 1.5x is unusually active for this name and below about 0.7x unusually quiet; heavy volume says a lot of shares changed hands, never which way the next move goes. A hypothetical price cannot create volume, so this tile holds steady as the slider moves.
RVolStatic
0.79×
in line with its own normal
Short int.
Shares sold short as a percentage of float. The 20% threshold is a crowding descriptor, not a forecast of a squeeze. This value updates on the reporting cadence.
Short int.Static
11.4%
short interest below 20%
ATR
Average true range describes the stock's recent daily price range. It is informational and does not enter the alignment count.
ATRStatic
$8.79
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.