Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) — Copper Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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FCXpeers & supply-chain relationships

FCX fair-value estimate

FCX earnings history

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 3.52M · 3-mo avg 14.51M

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)

FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionPCE inflation days · ~5% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 5/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$70.50
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$80–81
center $80.35 · basis · bb upper + high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.69
6.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.80×
52-week range$35.15 – $80.24
Below high since 2015-11.7% · $80.24 high
Risk / reward1.28 : 1
Plan stop$63.15
Max pain$65.00 options cluster
RSI 1448.7 fires under 35 · fires near $63.28
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple17.2× fwd · 34.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past75th pctile · 27.8× median
Free cash flow yield1.1% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 58% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
48.7
fires under 35 · fires near $63.28
vs 50-day
$68.18
above the line · fires near $68.79
Bollinger
$67.29
no lower pierce · fires near $66.42
VWAP 20
$74.55
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$70.50
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$70.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.94
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.80×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-22
in 25 sessions
Next dividend
0.85% yld
no ex-date on file