Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) (ERIC) — Communication Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ERIC fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 9.83M · 3-mo avg 11.42M

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) (ERIC)

ERICTelefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileOKPCE inflation days · ~29% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 4/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$10.12
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-18
Target exit zone
$13.77
center $13.77 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-18
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.18×
52-week range$8.05 – $13.77
Below high since 2015-34.0% · $15.40 high
Risk / reward8.01 : 1
Plan stop$9.72
Max pain
RSI 1451.0 fires under 35 · fires near $9.41
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple16.3× fwd · 13.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past50th pctile · 12.0× median
Free cash flow yield87.9% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 65% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
51.0
fires under 35 · fires near $9.41
vs 50-day
$10.07
at the line
Bollinger
$9.90
no lower pierce · fires near $9.86
VWAP 20
$10.11
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $10.10
Entry level
$10.12
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
+0.02
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.18×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.20
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-15
in 19 sessions
Next dividend
3.15% yld
no ex-date on file
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