Nokia Oyj (NOK) — Communication Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NOK fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 44.58M · 3-mo avg 86.15M

Nokia Oyj (NOK)

NOKNokia Oyjloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~6% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$10.38
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$17–18
center $17.45 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.52×
52-week range$4.63 – $17.45
Below high since 2015-40.5% · $17.45 high
Risk / reward6.30 : 1
Plan stop$9.27
Max pain—
RSI 1449.7 fires under 35 · fires near $8.64
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple75.3× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield2.5% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
49.7
fires under 35 · fires near $8.64
vs 50-day
●
$10.06
above the line · fires near $10.14
Bollinger
●
$9.52
no lower pierce · fires near $9.36
VWAP 20
✓
$10.41
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$10.38
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.05
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.52×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
1.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.54
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-22
in 20 sessions
Next dividend
1.54% yld
no ex-date on file