Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) — Communication Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

LITEpeers & supply-chain relationships

LITE fair-value estimate

LITE earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 11:45 AM ETVol 2.34M · 3-mo avg 5.29M

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE)

LITELumentum Holdings Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
loading…
$593.18
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$868–891
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $879.51 · Nov 9
±$70.88
±12.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 34% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 34% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume7% below normal0.93× its 20-day average
Past year's range$215.35 – $1,143.00lowest to highest price
From its peak47.8% belowpeak $1,143.00, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk3.00 to 1$3.00 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$497.79the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$595.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)35.2fires under 35 · fires near $587.75
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit148.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 60%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 114.6×
Cash it generates0.6%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
35.2
fires under 35 · fires near $587.75
vs 50-day
✓
$888.17
below the line
Bollinger
●
$520.37
no lower pierce · fires near $499.54
VWAP 20
✓
$764.47
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$593.18
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-34.73
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.93×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$83.18
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 56 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file