Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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DVN fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 19.20M · 3-mo avg 10.91M

Devon Energy Corporation (DVN)

DVNDevon Energy Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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$42.00
near a recent low · Nov 6
$45–46
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $45.74 · Nov 6
±$2.74
±6.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 13% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 13% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume87% above normal1.87× its 20-day average
Past year's range$33.34 – $52.71lowest to highest price
From its peak47.6% belowpeak $80.57, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.88 to 1$0.88 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$38.21the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$48.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)27.9oversold
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit7.9× next year9.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 69%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 8.0×
Cash it generates5.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price down 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
27.9
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$48.59
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$43.57
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$48.55
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$42.00
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$52.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-1.06
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.87×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.89
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
reported last session · reaction session open
Next dividend
3.03% yld
no ex-date on file