ELEMENTS Dogs of the Dow Linked to the Dow Jones High Yield Select 10 Total Return Index stock analysis
Everything behind the call on ELEMENTS Dogs of the Dow Linked to the Dow Jones High Yield Select 10 Total Return Index. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The index tracks the stocks with the highest dividend yield in Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Survival & solvency
and 1 of 5 forensic checks clear.
Business quality
The quality blocks below render whatever the filings support; anything absent says so in place.
Price & timing
Price $25.65, RSI 57.
Ownership & flow
The flow blocks below render whatever the filings support; anything absent says so in place.
Risk & track record
and 1 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 1 clear. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
The wider context
18 connections.
Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.
Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.
Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.
Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.
Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.
Average true range — the size of a typical day.
20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.
A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.
A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.
The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.
The strike where most options expire worthless.
Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.
Independent factors scored and netted into one number.
Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.
Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.
Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.
Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.