BAE Systems plc (BAESF) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 62.4K · 3-mo avg 25.0K

BAE Systems plc (BAESF)

BAESFBAE Systems plcloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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$24.43
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$25–26
near a resistance level, a round-number price and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $25.24 · Nov 6
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume287% above normal3.87× its 20-day average
Past year's range$21.12 – $32.21lowest to highest price
From its peak23.8% belowpeak $32.21, highest since 2023
Gain vs. risk0.27 to 1$0.27 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$21.98the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)38.0fires under 35 · fires near $23.83
Price vs. profit26.1× last 12 months
Cash it generates3.2%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price down 4.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
38.0
fires under 35 · fires near $23.83
vs 50-day
✓
$26.26
below the line
Bollinger
●
$24.16
no lower pierce · fires near $24.01
VWAP 20
✓
$26.19
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$24.43
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.11
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
3.87×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$1.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-17
in 68 sessions
Next dividend
2.08% yld
no ex-date on file