Woodward, Inc. (WWD) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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WWD fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 475.0K · 3-mo avg 671.6K

Woodward, Inc. (WWD)

WWDWoodward, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 4/100 · Nov 6
$315.72
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$321–329
near a resistance level, a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $324.82 · Nov 6
±$30.27
±9.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume31% below normal0.69× its 20-day average
Past year's range$253.52 – $450.92lowest to highest price
From its peak29.6% belowpeak $450.92, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.23 to 1$0.23 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$283.94the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$320.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)48.2fires under 35 · fires near $287.64
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit29.5× next year35.3× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 52%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 35.1×
Cash it generates1.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 3.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
48.2
fires under 35 · fires near $287.64
vs 50-day
✓
$326.13
below the line
Bollinger
●
$296.11
no lower pierce · fires near $291.81
VWAP 20
✓
$317.78
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$315.72
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$240.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+1.06
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.69×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$15.89
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-18
in 8 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.32
ex-date 2026-11-19