Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) — Engineering & Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AMRC fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 10:53 AM ETVol 154.5K · 3-mo avg 659.4K

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC)

AMRCAmeresco, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 30/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$23.58
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 2.0% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$44.93
center $44.93 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.23
9.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.20× the norm · 95% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.84×
52-week range$18.38 – $44.93
Below high since 2015-77.3% · $104.41 high
Risk / reward7.47 : 1
Plan stop$20.72
Max pain$25.00 options cluster
RSI 1451.7 fires under 35 · fires near $17.87
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple43.8× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past81st pctile · 30.6× median
Free cash flow yield-35.4% · burning cash

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 48% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
51.7
fires under 35 · fires near $17.87
vs 50-day
$23.57
below the line
Bollinger
$21.07
no lower pierce · fires near $20.77
VWAP 20
$22.54
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $22.53
Entry level
$23.58
below the model level
Put wall
$20.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.13
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
15.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-02
in 31 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file