Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) — Discount Stores. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

DLTRpeers & supply-chain relationships

DLTR fair-value estimate

DLTR earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.80M · 3-mo avg 2.43M

Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR)

DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 10 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$130.48
near a support level and a heavy put-option level · Nov 6
$147–150
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $148.54 · Nov 6
±$11.78
±9.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume31% above normal1.31× its 20-day average
Past year's range$85.88 – $148.54lowest to highest price
From its peak23.0% belowpeak $170.20, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.33 to 1$1.33 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$118.07the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$132.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)53.2fires under 35 · fires near $101.98
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit16.6× next year16.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 7%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 20.8×
Cash it generates5.6%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 4.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 49% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
53.2
fires under 35 · fires near $101.98
vs 50-day
●
$122.33
above the line · fires near $123.39
Bollinger
●
$113.64
no lower pierce · fires near $110.84
VWAP 20
●
$129.91
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $129.85
Entry level
✓
$130.48
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$126.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context✓
+0.90
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.31×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-24
in 12 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file