Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) — Discount Stores. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

COSTpeers & supply-chain relationships

COST fair-value estimate

COST earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:56 PM ETVol 4.10M · 3-mo avg 2.17M

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)

COSTCostco Wholesale Corporationloading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 10/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$889.46
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$933–939
center $935.95 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$30.89
3.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.54×
52-week range$844.06 – $1,096.50
Below high since 2015-18.5% · $1,096.50 high
Risk / reward1.25 : 1
Plan stop$862.79
Max pain$910.00 options cluster
RSI 1436.0 fires under 35 · fires near $893.19
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple39.7× fwd · 45.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past38th pctile · 47.5× median
Free cash flow yield2.0% · of market value

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
36.0
fires under 35 · fires near $893.19
vs 50-day
$936.24
below the line
Bollinger
$881.21
no lower pierce · fires near $877.16
VWAP 20
$925.83
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$889.46
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$900.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-2.76
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.54×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
1.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$13.34
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-09-24
in 4 sessions
Next dividend
0.66% yld
no ex-date on file