Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) — Discount Stores. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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COSTpeers & supply-chain relationships

COST fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.51M · 3-mo avg 2.17M

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)

COSTCostco Wholesale Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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$1,048.29
near a support level · Nov 6
$1,092–1,102
near a heavy call-option level, the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $1,097.06 · Nov 6
±$46.78
±4.4% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume4% above normal1.04× its 20-day average
Past year's range$844.06 – $1,096.50lowest to highest price
From its peak3.9% belowpeak $1,096.50, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.93 to 1$0.93 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$1,006.70the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$1,005.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)67.5fires under 35 · fires near $881.70
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit42.1× next year50.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 65%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 47.6×
Cash it generates2.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 36% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
67.5
fires under 35 · fires near $881.70
vs 50-day
●
$951.19
above the line · fires near $957.71
Bollinger
●
$944.74
no lower pierce · fires near $935.68
VWAP 20
●
$1,009.24
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $1,008.39
Entry level
✓
$1,048.29
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$1,000.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context✓
+4.67
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.04×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$20.80
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-10
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
0.56% yld
no ex-date on file