Walmart Inc. (WMT) — Discount Stores. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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WMTpeers & supply-chain relationships

WMT fair-value estimate

WMT earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 24.82M · 3-mo avg 23.88M

Walmart Inc. (WMT)

WMTWalmart Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 8 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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$124.89
near a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$134–136
near the 52-week high · midpoint $134.84 · Nov 6
±$5.67
±4.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume10% above normal1.10× its 20-day average
Past year's range$98.88 – $135.16lowest to highest price
From its peak7.1% belowpeak $135.16, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.97 to 1$0.97 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$115.94the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$124.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)63.6fires under 35 · fires near $104.36
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit38.9× next year45.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 90%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 38.3×
Cash it generates1.5%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
63.6
fires under 35 · fires near $104.36
vs 50-day
●
$112.48
above the line · fires near $113.31
Bollinger
●
$111.56
no lower pierce · fires near $109.92
VWAP 20
●
$121.47
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $121.45
Entry level
✓
$124.89
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$120.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context✓
+0.48
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.10×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-19
in 9 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.25
ex-date 2026-12-11