Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) — Residential Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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DFHpeers & supply-chain relationships

DFH fair-value estimate

DFH earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.07M · 3-mo avg 717.2K

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH)

DFHDream Finders Homes, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-6net
0 bull / 3 bear factors · moderate
Bull 0 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 55/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$11.24
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$15.00
center $15.00 · basis · bb upper + call wall · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.89
7.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.20× the norm · 95% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.10×
52-week range$11.26 – $27.50
Below high since 2021-74.5% · $44.38 high
Risk / reward2.42 : 1
Plan stop$9.77
Max pain$15.00 options cluster
RSI 1437.1 fires under 35 · fires near $11.09
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple10.0× fwd · 8.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past24th pctile · 7.6× median
Free cash flow yield-11.7% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
37.1
fires under 35 · fires near $11.09
vs 50-day
✓
$13.88
below the line
Bollinger
●
$10.52
no lower pierce · fires near $10.30
VWAP 20
✓
$12.31
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$11.24
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$12.50
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.13
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.10×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
23.6%
23.6% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.74
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 25 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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