Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) — Cloud & Infrastructure Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 4.04M · 3-mo avg 4.07M

Dropbox, Inc. (DBX)

DBXDropbox, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 44/100 · as of 2026-09-24
Smart entry
$32.50
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$33.87
center $33.87 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.76
8.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.52×
52-week range$21.70 – $38.17
Below high since 2018-25.5% · $43.82 high
Risk / reward0.49 : 1
Plan stop$29.72
Max pain$36.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.6 fires under 35 · fires near $31.13
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple9.8× fwd · 18.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past29th pctile · 16.9× median
Free cash flow yield13.2% · of market value

Last session traded heavier than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 54% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
38.6
fires under 35 · fires near $31.13
vs 50-day
✓
$33.83
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$32.80
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$35.45
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$32.50
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$35.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.39
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.52×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
15.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.39
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file