Chewy, Inc. (CHWY) — Internet Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CHWY fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:46 PM ETVol 3.32M · 3-mo avg 8.28M

Chewy, Inc. (CHWY)

CHWYChewy, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-6net
1 bull / 4 bear factors · moderate
Bull 2 pts·Bear 8 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$22.93
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9 · price is already 1.7% below it
$37–38
near the 52-week high · midpoint $37.34 · Nov 9
±$1.72
±7.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume28% below normal0.72× its 20-day average
Past year's range$17.40 – $37.34lowest to highest price
From its peak84.2% belowpeak $145.88, highest since 2019
Gain vs. risk7.37 to 1$7.37 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$20.98the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$23.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)62.1fires under 35 · fires near $16.82
Accounting warning signs4worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit12.1× next year34.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 15%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 68.5×
Cash it generates6.2%of its market value, per year

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
62.1
fires under 35 · fires near $16.82
vs 50-day
●
$20.82
above the line · fires near $20.98
Bollinger
●
$19.80
no lower pierce · fires near $19.46
VWAP 20
●
$21.55
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $21.53
Entry level
✓
$22.93
below the model level
Put wall
✓
$23.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.14
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
53.7%
53.7% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.95
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-09
in 20 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file