Chewy, Inc. (CHWY) — Internet Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CHWY fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 6.16M · 3-mo avg 8.57M

Chewy, Inc. (CHWY)

CHWYChewy, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-6net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 0 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 68/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$18.23
basis · low 52w + pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$22.17
center $22.17 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.58
8.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 96% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.27×
52-week range$17.40 – $40.55
Below high since 2019-87.4% · $145.88 high
Risk / reward1.61 : 1
Plan stop$16.04
Max pain$20.50 options cluster
RSI 1426.8 oversold
Forensic flags4 review
Earnings multiple10.2× fwd · 29.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past1st pctile · 100.4× median
Free cash flow yield7.4% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 75% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
✓
26.8
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$22.29
below the line
Bollinger
●
$18.12
no lower pierce · fires near $18.03
VWAP 20
✓
$21.37
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$18.23
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$19.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.35
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.27×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
43.0%
43.0% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$1.10
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-09
in 53 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file