Maplebear Inc. (CART) — Internet Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CART fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 2.67M · 3-mo avg 4.15M

Maplebear Inc. (CART)

CARTMaplebear Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 86/100 · was 83 on Sep 21 · as of 2026-09-250/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$42.97
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$47–48
center $47.47 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.25
9.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
High
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.67×
52-week range$32.73 – $52.68
Below high since 2023-19.3% · $53.50 high
Risk / reward1.08 : 1
Plan stop$39.23
Max pain$46.00 options cluster
RSI 1433.4 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple9.2× fwd · 24.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past18th pctile · 24.4× median
Free cash flow yield8.7% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
33.4
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$47.49
below the line
Bollinger
●
$41.84
no lower pierce · fires near $41.44
VWAP 20
✓
$46.94
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$42.97
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$45.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.64
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.67×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
10.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.87
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-09
in 32 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file