Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) — Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 17, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 388.7K · 3-mo avg 523.2K

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD)

BLBDBlue Bird Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+7net
5 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 14/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$60.49
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$62–63
center $62.09 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.31
8.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.75×
52-week range$46.14 – $83.39
Below high since 2015-27.1% · $83.39 high
Risk / reward0.26 : 1
Plan stop$55.74
Max pain$60.00 options cluster
RSI 1440.1 fires under 35 · fires near $58.63
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple13.0× fwd · 7.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past45th pctile · 15.3× median
Free cash flow yield7.8% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 62% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
40.1
fires under 35 · fires near $58.63
vs 50-day
$68.25
below the line
Bollinger
$58.01
no lower pierce · fires near $57.44
VWAP 20
$61.33
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$60.49
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$60.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.66
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.75×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
12.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.18
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-25
in 50 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file