AXT, Inc. (AXTI) — Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AXTI fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 17, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 7.70M · 3-mo avg 10.30M

AXT, Inc. (AXTI)

AXTIAXT, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$63.18
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-16
Target exit zone
$142–144
center $143.16 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-16
Implied move · 1 wk
±$11.31
16.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.20× the norm · 95% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.42×
52-week range$3.85 – $143.16
Below high since 2015-55.1% · $143.16 high
Risk / reward4.04 : 1
Plan stop$49.10
Max pain$65.00 options cluster
RSI 1449.6 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple2,164.7× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past99th pctile · 17.5× median
Free cash flow yield-0.4% · burning cash

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 5.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 48% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
49.6
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
$62.71
above the line · fires near $63.14
Bollinger
$52.98
no lower pierce · fires near $50.81
VWAP 20
$65.17
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $65.07
Entry level
$63.18
level below · fires near $63.78
Put wall
$75.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-14
MACD
Context
-0.02
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.42×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
14.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.95
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 31 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file