AXT, Inc. (AXTI) — Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 11.32M · 3-mo avg 9.84M

AXT, Inc. (AXTI)

AXTIAXT, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 100/100 · was 77 on Nov 3 · Nov 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$38.69
near a recent low, a support level and a heavy put-option level · Nov 6
$48–49
near a heavy call-option level · midpoint $48.50 · Nov 6
±$8.23
±21.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume3% below normal0.97× its 20-day average
Past year's range$8.44 – $143.16lowest to highest price
From its peak72.8% belowpeak $143.16, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.50 to 1$1.50 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$32.46the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$52.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)34.1washed out
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit79.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 88%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 17.7×
Cash it generates-0.7%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 5.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
34.1
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$64.00
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$39.81
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$53.89
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$38.69
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$55.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-1.73
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.97×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
19.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-18
in 69 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file