Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) — Packaging & Containers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

AMBPpeers & supply-chain relationships

AMBP fair-value estimate

AMBP earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 11:44 AM ETVol 605.8K · 3-mo avg 2.44M

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP)

AMBPArdagh Metal Packaging S.A.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
loading…
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 98/100 · was 5 on Sep 13 · as of 2026-09-180/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$4.68
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$4.84
center $4.84 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
0.98× the norm · 78% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average2.11×
52-week range$3.29 – $5.47
Below high since 2020-79.0% · $22.40 high
Risk / reward0.58 : 1
Plan stop$4.39
Max pain
RSI 1437.7 fires under 35 · fires near $4.59
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple93.3× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past84th pctile · 54.3× median
Free cash flow yield9.5% · of market value

Trading heavier than its own normal, price down 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 74% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
37.7
fires under 35 · fires near $4.59
vs 50-day
$4.84
below the line
Bollinger
$4.63
no lower pierce · fires near $4.61
VWAP 20
$4.92
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$4.68
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
-0.04
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
2.11×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
6.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.14
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-22
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
8.57% yld
no ex-date on file
Appears in