Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) — Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.09M · 3-mo avg 1.49M

Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA)

AMBAAmbarella, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 43/100 · Nov 6
$54.89
near the 52-week low and a support level · Nov 6
$65–67
near the 200-day average, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $66.22 · Nov 6
±$8.95
±15.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume28% below normal0.72× its 20-day average
Past year's range$48.30 – $96.69lowest to highest price
From its peak76.7% belowpeak $236.75, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.58 to 1$0.58 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$45.28the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$62.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)39.6fires under 35 · fires near $56.59
Accounting warning signs3worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit55.5× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Cash it generates2.3%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 6.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
39.6
fires under 35 · fires near $56.59
vs 50-day
✓
$65.61
below the line
Bollinger
●
$58.04
no lower pierce · fires near $57.87
VWAP 20
✓
$63.67
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$54.89
level below · fires near $55.40
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.66
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
11.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.03
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-24
in 12 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file