Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) — Auto Parts & Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ALSNpeers & supply-chain relationships

ALSN fair-value estimate

ALSN earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:31 PM ETVol 325.0K · 3-mo avg 781.1K

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN)

ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+7net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 8 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$122.87
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$136–138
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $136.97 · Nov 9
±$7.75
±6.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume33% below normal0.67× its 20-day average
Past year's range$78.77 – $137.62lowest to highest price
From its peak9.9% belowpeak $137.62, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.98 to 1$0.98 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$111.53the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$120.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)65.7fires under 35 · fires near $101.19
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.8× next year17.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 95%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 9.8×
Cash it generates6.5%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 33% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
65.7
fires under 35 · fires near $101.19
vs 50-day
●
$116.33
above the line · fires near $117.36
Bollinger
●
$103.07
no lower pierce · fires near $102.74
VWAP 20
●
$113.43
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $113.31
Entry level
●
$122.87
level below · fires near $124.04
Put wall
●
$120.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+1.75
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.67×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.46
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-22
in 69 sessions
Next dividend
0.93% yld
no ex-date on file