Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) — Auto Parts & Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ALSNpeers & supply-chain relationships

ALSN fair-value estimate

ALSN earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.76M · 3-mo avg 1.06M

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN)

ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE inflation days · not on fileCautionHeavy selling · 58/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$116.51
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-18
Target exit zone
$121–123
center $122.04 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-18
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.41
5.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.08× the norm · 86% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: hot selling
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average3.40×
52-week range$76.01 – $137.62
Below high since 2015-14.9% · $137.62 high
Risk / reward0.59 : 1
Plan stop$108.79
Max pain$120.00 options cluster
RSI 1437.1 fires under 35 · fires near $115.30
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple10.4× fwd · 18.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past94th pctile · 9.8× median
Free cash flow yield6.8% · of market value

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price down 2.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
37.1
fires under 35 · fires near $115.30
vs 50-day
$122.19
below the line
Bollinger
$117.65
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$125.81
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$116.51
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$120.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-1.55
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
3.40×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.86
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
0.99% yld
no ex-date on file
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