Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 35/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$104.00
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-18
Target exit zone
$109–112
center $110.57 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-18
Implied move · 1 wk
±$8.64
8.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 8% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 8% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.54×
52-week range$70.82 – $165.45
Below high since 2015-36.8% · $165.45 high
Risk / reward0.65 : 1
Plan stop$95.16
Max pain$109.00 options cluster
RSI 1441.8 fires under 35 · fires near $98.34
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple14.5× fwd · 37.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past90th pctile · 27.2× median
Free cash flow yield4.7% · of market value
Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price down 2.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.
Entry strategy · 10 triggers
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
Momentum gauge, 0–100. A low reading describes losses dominating recent gains; it does not predict a reversal. Recomputed at the what-if price from the served daily tape.
RSI 14
●
41.8
fires under 35 · fires near $98.34
vs 50-day
The average close across 50 sessions. Trading at or below it describes price location versus the recent trend; it is not evidence that buyers will defend the line.
vs 50-day
✓
$114.03
below the line
Bollinger
A 20-session volatility envelope. A lower-band pierce describes an unusually low price relative to that recent distribution; it does not guarantee mean reversion. The band re-forms around the what-if price.
Bollinger
●
$102.96
no lower pierce · fires near $102.52
VWAP 20
A 20-session rolling VWAP approximated from daily typical price and volume, not an intraday session anchor. Being below it is a price-location descriptor, not a forecast.
VWAP 20
✓
$107.09
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
The entry reference published by the audited level composer from the stock's support zone. It is a model level, not an instruction or guaranteed floor.
Entry level
✓
$104.00
within 1% of model level
Put wall
The strike with the largest put open interest in the stored chain snapshot. It is an options-positioning reference, not verified price support.
Put wall
●
$100.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Momentum-shift gauge shown as context, not part of the alignment rule. Recomputed at the what-if price when the served daily tape is usable.
MACD
Context✓
+0.23
histogram above zero · fading
RVol
That session's volume against this name's own average over the last 20 sessions. Above about 1.5x is unusually active for this name and below about 0.7x unusually quiet; heavy volume says a lot of shares changed hands, never which way the next move goes. A hypothetical price cannot create volume, so this tile holds steady as the slider moves.
RVolStatic
1.54×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.
Shares sold short as a percentage of float. The 20% threshold is a crowding descriptor, not a forecast of a squeeze. This value updates on the reporting cadence.
Short int.Static
13.4%
short interest below 20%
ATR
Average true range describes the stock's recent daily price range. It is informational and does not enter the alignment count.
ATRStatic
$4.42
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.