Adeia Inc. (ADEA) — $27.86 −1.31%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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ADEA fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 488.5K · Avg 1.87M
ADEAAdeia Inc.$27.86-1.31%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
2 of 5 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$27.72
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$29–30
center $29.16 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.12
0.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.26× · 488.5K vs 1.87M avg
52-week range$11.61 – $34.34
Below high since 2015-39.6% · $46.14 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$23.52
Max pain$20.00 options cluster
RSI 1449.7 fires under 35 · fires near $21.40
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$27.86
$21.28 · -23.6%-23.6%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+0.4% · $27.98+0.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
49.7
fires under 35 · fires near $21.40
vs 50-day
$29.16
below the line
Bollinger
$23.57
no lower pierce · fires near $22.88
VWAP 20
$26.86
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $26.83
Entry level
$27.72
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.37
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.26×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
13.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.10
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2 Nov 2026
· in 83 days
Next dividend
USD 0.05
ex-date 2026-08-24
prices 15-min delayed