Adeia Inc. (ADEA) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.12M · 3-mo avg 1.17M

Adeia Inc. (ADEA)

ADEAAdeia Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 85/100 · was 100 on Nov 5 · Nov 91/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$16.19
near a support level · Nov 9
$22–23
near a heavy call-option level and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $22.50 · Nov 9
±$1.39
±8.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume25% above normal1.25× its 20-day average
Past year's range$11.61 – $34.34lowest to highest price
From its peak64.7% belowpeak $46.14, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.31 to 1$2.31 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$13.59the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$20.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)29.8oversold
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit12.0× next year15.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 18%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 22.5×
Cash it generates8.3%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 5.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
29.8
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$23.29
below the line
Bollinger
●
$15.34
no lower pierce · fires near $15.05
VWAP 20
✓
$19.38
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$16.19
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$22.50
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context●
-0.56
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.25×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.40
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-22
in 70 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.05
ex-date 2026-11-23