ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) — $23.18 −3.13%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ZTOpeers & supply-chain relationships

ZTO fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 432.1K · Avg 1.65M
ZTOZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.$23.18-3.13%

STRIKE.

The entry triggers have lined up — the pullback you set the alert for. This is your entry.

5 of 6 entry triggers are firing at once, clearing the 4-of-6 screen rule.

QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
Entry conditions met — this is the setup.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$23.81
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$25.97
center $25.97 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.16
9.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~50% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.8× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.26× · 432.1K vs 1.65M avg
52-week range$17.39 – $26.20
Below high since 2016-39.9% · $39.84 high
Risk / reward1 : 3.1
Plan stop$22.28
Max pain$24.00 options cluster
RSI 1452.5 fires under 35 · fires near $20.52
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$23.18
$20.38 · -12.1%-12.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+9.3% · $25.34+9.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
52.5
fires under 35 · fires near $20.52
vs 50-day
$23.16
at the line
Bollinger
$23.52
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$24.01
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$23.81
below the model level
Put wall
$25.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
+0.19
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.26×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.51
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
18 Aug 2026
· in 6 days
Next dividend
2.98% yld
no ex-date on file
Appears in
prices 15-min delayed