Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 4.06M · 3-mo avg 6.78M

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM)

YMMFull Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 11/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$8.09
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$8.81
center $8.81 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.77×
52-week range$7.46 – $14.07
Below high since 2021-66.7% · $24.45 high
Risk / reward1.71 : 1
Plan stop$7.73
Max pain—
RSI 1439.7 fires under 35 · fires near $7.93
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple9.3× fwd · 13.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past7th pctile · 25.9× median
Free cash flow yield53.2% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
39.7
fires under 35 · fires near $7.93
vs 50-day
✓
$8.82
below the line
Bollinger
●
$7.88
no lower pierce · fires near $7.82
VWAP 20
✓
$8.38
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$8.09
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.05
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.77×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.18
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-16
in 37 sessions
Next dividend
4.18% yld
no ex-date on file