Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:16 PM ETVol 2.23M · 3-mo avg 7.05M

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM)

YMMFull Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 2/100 · Nov 10
$8.93
near a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9 · price is already 2.2% below it
$12.71
near the 52-week high · midpoint $12.71 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume46% below normal0.54× its 20-day average
Past year's range$7.46 – $13.09lowest to highest price
From its peak63.3% belowpeak $24.45, highest since 2021
Gain vs. risk6.10 to 1$6.10 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$8.30the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)59.7fires under 35 · fires near $6.64
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.0× next year15.3× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 9%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 25.9×
Cash it generates49.7%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 2.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
59.7
fires under 35 · fires near $6.64
vs 50-day
●
$8.39
above the line · fires near $8.46
Bollinger
●
$8.02
no lower pierce · fires near $7.91
VWAP 20
●
$8.59
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $8.58
Entry level
✓
$8.93
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.04
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.54×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.31
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-19
in 7 sessions
Next dividend
2.86% yld
no ex-date on file