XPeng Inc. (XPEV) — Auto Manufacturers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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XPEV fair-value estimate

XPEV earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 5.74M · 3-mo avg 7.26M

XPeng Inc. (XPEV)

XPEVXPeng Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-3net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 44/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$10.07
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$11.58
center $11.58 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.75
7.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.88×
52-week range$10.12 – $28.24
Below high since 2020-86.7% · $75.81 high
Risk / reward2.16 : 1
Plan stop$9.44
Max pain$10.50 options cluster
RSI 1433.8 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple55.8× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield49.9% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 61% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
✓
33.8
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$11.62
below the line
Bollinger
●
$9.89
no lower pierce · fires near $9.82
VWAP 20
✓
$10.67
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$10.07
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$12.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-22
MACD
Context✓
+0.02
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.88×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.31
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-16
in 37 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file