Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) — $188.78 −0.69%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

TMpeers & supply-chain relationships

TM fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 322.7K · Avg 508.1K
TMToyota Motor Corporation$188.78-0.69%Pre-market$189.00+0.12%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.1× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$187.84
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$248–250
center $248.90 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.64× · 322.7K vs 508.1K avg
52-week range$166.10 – $248.90
Below high since 2015-26.0% · $255.23 high
Risk / reward1 : 5.5
Plan stop$176.79
Max pain
RSI 1458.3 fires under 35 · fires near $165.50
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$188.78
$164.59 · -12.8%-12.8%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.2% · $196.71+4.2%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
58.3
fires under 35 · fires near $165.50
vs 50-day
$178.66
above the line · fires near $180.16
Bollinger
$172.72
no lower pierce · fires near $170.64
VWAP 20
$184.43
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $184.40
Entry level
$187.84
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.46
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.64×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
0.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.96
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
5 Nov 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 85 days
Next dividend
3.32% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed