Toyota Motor Corporation (TOYOF) — Auto Manufacturers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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TOYOF fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 24, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.1K · 3-mo avg 65.2K

Toyota Motor Corporation (TOYOF)

TOYOFToyota Motor Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-2net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~11% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 1/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$19.44
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$20.08
center $20.08 · basis · bb upper + daily pivot + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (5/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.09×
52-week range$16.00 – $25.00
Below high since 2023-24.8% · $26.02 high
Risk / reward0.32 : 1
Plan stop$17.46
Max pain—
RSI 1452.5 fires under 35 · fires near $15.78
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple9.0× fwd · 8.4× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield73.3% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
52.5
fires under 35 · fires near $15.78
vs 50-day
✓
$19.03
below the line
Bollinger
●
$18.77
no lower pierce · fires near $18.76
VWAP 20
✓
$19.50
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$19.44
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.08
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.09×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.89
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
3.41% yld
no ex-date on file