Toyota Motor Corporation (TOYOF) — $18.80 −1.21%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

TOYOFpeers & supply-chain relationships

TOYOF fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 1.0K · Avg 142.6K
TOYOFToyota Motor Corporation$18.80-1.21%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
-2net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.1× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$18.53
basis · pivot low · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$25.00
center $25.00 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~65% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.01× · 1.0K vs 142.6K avg
52-week range$15.60 – $25.00
Below high since 2023-27.7% · $26.02 high
Risk / reward1 : 4.1
Plan stop$16.94
Max pain
RSI 1457.8 fires under 35 · fires near $16.81
Forensic flags0 clean
What-if price
$18.80
$16.47 · -12.4%-12.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.5% · $20.39+8.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
57.8
fires under 35 · fires near $16.81
vs 50-day
$17.96
above the line · fires near $18.12
Bollinger
$17.27
no lower pierce · fires near $17.07
VWAP 20
$18.99
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$18.53
level below · fires near $18.70
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.09
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.01×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.80
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
5 Nov 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 85 days
Next dividend
3.40% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed