The Wendy's Company (WEN) — Restaurants & Dining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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WEN fair-value estimate

WEN earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.95M · 3-mo avg 10.11M

The Wendy's Company (WEN)

WENThe Wendy's Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 54/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$6.52
basis · pivot low · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$7.00
center $7.00 · basis · call wall + max pain + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.48
7.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 15% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.20× the norm · 95% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 15% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.83×
52-week range$6.07 – $10.12
Below high since 2015-64.2% · $18.31 high
Risk / reward0.79 : 1
Plan stop$5.98
Max pain$7.00 options cluster
RSI 1432.4 washed out
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple12.6× fwd · 9.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past6th pctile · 19.0× median
Free cash flow yield19.4% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 68% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
32.4
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$7.72
below the line
Bollinger
●
$6.22
no lower pierce · fires near $6.12
VWAP 20
✓
$7.42
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$6.52
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$7.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.11
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.83×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
31.1%
31.1% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.27
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-06
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
4.27% yld
no ex-date on file
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