McDonald's Corporation (MCD) — Restaurants & Dining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MCD fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:15 PM ETVol 1.62M · 3-mo avg 5.45M

McDonald's Corporation (MCD)

MCDMcDonald's Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-5net
2 bull / 4 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 9 pts30d
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$280.03
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$333–337
near the 52-week high · midpoint $335.18 · Nov 9
±$11.37
±4.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume49% below normal0.51× its 20-day average
Past year's range$229.20 – $341.75lowest to highest price
From its peak17.6% belowpeak $341.75, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.65 to 1$2.65 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$263.06the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$260.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)76.1overbought
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.7× next year22.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 11%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 25.8×
Cash it generates3.6%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 34% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
76.1
overbought
vs 50-day
●
$249.07
above the line · fires near $250.55
Bollinger
●
$227.49
no lower pierce · fires near $224.31
VWAP 20
●
$256.73
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $256.55
Entry level
●
$280.03
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$255.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+3.37
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.51×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
1.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-11
in 63 sessions
Next dividend
USD 1.93
ex-date 2026-12-01