Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) — Restaurants & Dining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SBUXpeers & supply-chain relationships

SBUX fair-value estimate

SBUX earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 1:22 PM ETVol 7.26M · 3-mo avg 7.08M

Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)

SBUXStarbucks Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyOKPCE inflation days · ~12% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 62/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$94.39
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$102–103
center $102.93 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.75
6.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 8% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 8% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.08×
52-week range$77.99 – $110.51
Below high since 2015-24.8% · $126.16 high
Risk / reward1.65 : 1
Plan stop$89.98
Max pain$96.00 options cluster
RSI 1431.8 washed out
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple30.3× fwd · 54.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past84th pctile · 31.2× median
Free cash flow yield2.3% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 70% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
31.8
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$103.01
below the line
Bollinger
●
$90.37
no lower pierce · fires near $89.21
VWAP 20
✓
$99.12
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$94.39
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$94.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.54
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.08×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.20
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
2.61% yld
no ex-date on file