Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) — Restaurants & Dining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 5.68M · 3-mo avg 18.23M

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)

CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-5net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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$35.56
near a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$41–42
near the 52-week high · midpoint $41.42 · Nov 9
±$2.26
±6.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume51% below normal0.49× its 20-day average
Past year's range$27.31 – $41.42lowest to highest price
From its peak48.4% belowpeak $69.26, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.36 to 1$1.36 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$32.14the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$32.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)67.5fires under 35 · fires near $26.85
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit27.2× next year33.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 20%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 51.3×
Cash it generates3.1%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 33% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
67.5
fires under 35 · fires near $26.85
vs 50-day
●
$32.71
above the line · fires near $32.92
Bollinger
●
$25.78
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$30.80
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $30.76
Entry level
●
$35.56
level below · fires near $35.90
Put wall
●
$32.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.83
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.49×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.30
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-09
in 61 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file