Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) — $31.99 −0.48%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CMGpeers & supply-chain relationships

CMG fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 3.24M · Avg 16.46M
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.$31.99-0.48%

STRIKE.

The entry triggers have lined up — the pullback you set the alert for. This is your entry.

4 of 6 entry triggers are firing at once, clearing the 4-of-6 screen rule.

QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
Entry conditions met — this is the setup.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.0× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$31.98
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$32.95
center $32.95 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.98
6.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~78% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.20× · 3.24M vs 16.46M avg
52-week range$29.75 – $58.42
Below high since 2015-53.6% · $69.26 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$28.75
Max pain$20.00 options cluster
RSI 1443.3 fires under 35 · fires near $28.43
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$31.99
$28.24 · -11.7%-11.7%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.2% · $33.97+6.2%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
43.3
fires under 35 · fires near $28.43
vs 50-day
$32.97
below the line
Bollinger
$30.47
no lower pierce · fires near $30.04
VWAP 20
$34.57
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$31.98
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$34.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
-0.12
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.20×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
4.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.62
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 84 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed