Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.41M · 3-mo avg 1.06M

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST)

VISTVista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.loading…
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QTick signal
-3net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 78/100 · was 67 on Nov 5 · Nov 90/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$57.45
near a support level · Nov 9
$69–71
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $69.99 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 17% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 17% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume35% above normal1.35× its 20-day average
Past year's range$43.71 – $81.44lowest to highest price
From its peak29.1% belowpeak $81.44, highest since 2019
Gain vs. risk1.77 to 1$1.77 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$50.82the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)29.0oversold
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit5.0× next year8.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 40%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 8.9×
Cash it generates-12.2%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
29.0
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$69.87
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$57.94
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$67.25
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$57.45
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-1.59
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.35×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.31
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-03-03
in 77 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file