US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) — $109.71 +0.99%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

USFDpeers & supply-chain relationships

USFD fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 231.7K · Avg 2.47M
USFDUS Foods Holding Corp.$109.71+0.99%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

0 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
0 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$108.09
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$109–111
center $110.02 · basis · daily pivot + high 52w + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.85
6.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.09× · 231.7K vs 2.47M avg
52-week range$69.88 – $109.71
Below high since 2016-1.3% · $110.08 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$100.53
Max pain$70.00 options cluster
RSI 1470.1 overbought
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$109.71
$87.87 · -19.9%-19.9%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.2% · $116.55+6.2%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
70.1
overbought
vs 50-day
$96.28
above the line · fires near $96.88
Bollinger
$91.98
no lower pierce · fires near $91.42
VWAP 20
$100.21
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $100.15
Entry level
$108.09
level below · fires near $109.16
Put wall
$100.00
OI strike below · fires near $100.43
MACD
+0.03
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.09×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
5.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.18
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
5 Nov 2026
· in 85 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed