The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) — Food Distribution. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CHEFpeers & supply-chain relationships

CHEF fair-value estimate

CHEF earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 415.7K · 3-mo avg 652.2K

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF)

CHEFThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$109.72
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$117–119
center $117.65 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.60×
52-week range$53.20 – $117.65
Below high since 2015-6.3% · $117.65 high
Risk / reward0.86 : 1
Plan stop$101.65
Max pain—
RSI 1451.1 fires under 35 · fires near $99.72
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple36.1× fwd · 52.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past81st pctile · 41.1× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 40% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
51.1
fires under 35 · fires near $99.72
vs 50-day
●
$108.32
above the line · fires near $109.36
Bollinger
●
$106.32
no lower pierce · fires near $105.49
VWAP 20
✓
$111.70
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$109.72
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.37
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.60×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
12.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.04
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file