Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) — Railroads. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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TRNpeers & supply-chain relationships

TRN earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 664.4K · 3-mo avg 748.3K

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN)

TRNTrinity Industries, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$29.28
near a recent low, a support level and a heavy put-option level · Nov 6
$37.86
near the 52-week high · midpoint $37.86 · Nov 6
±$2.05
±7.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
96% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume30% below normal0.70× its 20-day average
Past year's range$24.28 – $38.31lowest to highest price
From its peak26.3% belowpeak $39.93, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.67 to 1$2.67 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$26.27the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$27.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)59.1fires under 35 · fires near $22.07
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit13.5× next year7.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 0%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 17.1×
Cash it generates-18.9%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 3.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 42% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
59.1
fires under 35 · fires near $22.07
vs 50-day
●
$27.12
above the line · fires near $27.32
Bollinger
●
$22.54
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$27.50
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $27.46
Entry level
✓
$29.28
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$29.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.57
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.70×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
6.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.25
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-11
in 65 sessions
Next dividend
4.21% yld
no ex-date on file