Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) — Railroads. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CPpeers & supply-chain relationships

CP fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.17M · 3-mo avg 2.26M

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP)

CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City Limitedloading…
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QTick signal
-5net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKInflation-report days · ~8% smaller swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$91.71
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$96–97
near the 52-week high · midpoint $96.69 · Nov 6
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume17% below normal0.83× its 20-day average
Past year's range$68.83 – $96.90lowest to highest price
From its peak4.9% belowpeak $96.90, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.66 to 1$0.66 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$85.29the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)59.0fires under 35 · fires near $81.23
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit21.9× next year29.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 78%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 26.7×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 41% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
59.0
fires under 35 · fires near $81.23
vs 50-day
●
$88.43
above the line · fires near $89.21
Bollinger
●
$84.20
no lower pierce · fires near $83.28
VWAP 20
●
$89.65
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $89.63
Entry level
✓
$91.71
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.53
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.83×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.30
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-27
in 54 sessions
Next dividend
0.82% yld
no ex-date on file