Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) — Railroads. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CP fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.36M · 3-mo avg 2.49M

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP)

CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City Limitedloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileOKPCE inflation days · ~8% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 30/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$88.34
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 1.0% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$91–92
center $91.57 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 68% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.97×
52-week range$68.42 – $96.90
Below high since 2015-8.4% · $96.90 high
Risk / reward0.88 : 1
Plan stop$84.65
Max pain
RSI 1441.8 fires under 35 · fires near $84.53
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple20.6× fwd · 28.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past49th pctile · 26.5× median
Price / booknot on file

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 1.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
41.8
fires under 35 · fires near $84.53
vs 50-day
$91.63
below the line
Bollinger
$86.38
no lower pierce · fires near $86.05
VWAP 20
$91.52
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$88.34
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
-0.57
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.97×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.84
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
0.87% yld
no ex-date on file