CSX Corporation (CSX) — Railroads. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CSXpeers & supply-chain relationships

CSX fair-value estimate

CSX earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 5.80M · 3-mo avg 11.67M

CSX Corporation (CSX)

CSXCSX Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyOKPCE inflation days · ~14% smaller swingsCautionHeavy selling · 30/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$47.66
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 1.2% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$50.16
center $50.16 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.84
3.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
0.93× the norm · 62% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: hot selling
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.05×
52-week range$32.18 – $53.60
Below high since 2015-10.6% · $53.60 high
Risk / reward1.22 : 1
Plan stop$45.62
Max pain$48.50 options cluster
RSI 1435.3 fires under 35 · fires near $47.01
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple21.5× fwd · 28.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past91st pctile · 18.4× median
Free cash flow yield2.0% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 1.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 71% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
35.3
fires under 35 · fires near $47.01
vs 50-day
$50.08
below the line
Bollinger
$47.13
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$49.65
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$47.66
below the model level
Put wall
$47.50
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.20
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.05×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.02
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-22
in 25 sessions
Next dividend
1.19% yld
no ex-date on file