Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) — Railroads. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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UNPpeers & supply-chain relationships

UNP fair-value estimate

UNP earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 10:27 AM ETVol 701.9K · 3-mo avg 2.65M

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)

UNPUnion Pacific Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+7net
4 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 26/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$281.07
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 0.6% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$293–296
center $294.26 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$10.15
3.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.96×
52-week range$215.53 – $315.99
Below high since 2015-10.6% · $315.99 high
Risk / reward1.18 : 1
Plan stop$269.91
Max pain$290.00 options cluster
RSI 1436.0 fires under 35 · fires near $278.40
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple19.8× fwd · 22.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past73rd pctile · 21.1× median
Free cash flow yield3.3% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
36.0
fires under 35 · fires near $278.40
vs 50-day
$293.69
below the line
Bollinger
$273.93
no lower pierce · fires near $272.26
VWAP 20
$295.67
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$281.07
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$270.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-1.64
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.96×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.58
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-22
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
2.03% yld
no ex-date on file