Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) — Railroads. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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UNPpeers & supply-chain relationships

UNP fair-value estimate

UNP earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.03M · 3-mo avg 2.51M

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)

UNPUnion Pacific Corporationloading…
loading…
QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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$288.71
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$313–317
near a heavy call-option level and the 52-week high · midpoint $314.77 · Nov 6
±$17.76
±6.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume8% above normal1.08× its 20-day average
Past year's range$219.89 – $315.99lowest to highest price
From its peak8.2% belowpeak $315.99, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.43 to 1$1.43 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$272.92the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$295.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)47.1fires under 35 · fires near $271.45
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.2× next year22.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 72%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 21.1×
Cash it generates3.2%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 35% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
47.1
fires under 35 · fires near $271.45
vs 50-day
●
$286.67
above the line · fires near $289.47
Bollinger
●
$278.58
no lower pierce · fires near $275.95
VWAP 20
✓
$294.90
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$288.71
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.18
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.08×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.56
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-26
in 53 sessions
Next dividend
1.96% yld
no ex-date on file