Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 287.8K · 3-mo avg 382.0K

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL)

TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 36/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$339.36
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$368–376
center $372.21 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.73×
52-week range$269.23 – $547.20
Below high since 2015-42.2% · $589.71 high
Risk / reward0.94 : 1
Plan stop$307.98
Max pain—
RSI 1440.6 fires under 35 · fires near $324.79
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple43.4× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
40.6
fires under 35 · fires near $324.79
vs 50-day
✓
$373.42
below the line
Bollinger
●
$335.62
no lower pierce · fires near $333.62
VWAP 20
✓
$359.89
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$339.36
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-2.24
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.73×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$15.69
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
0.70% yld
no ex-date on file