Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.59M · 3-mo avg 3.47M

Atlassian Corporation (TEAM)

TEAMAtlassian Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 82/100 · was 39 on Nov 5 · Nov 90/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$154.13
near a support level · Nov 9
$191–197
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $193.83 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 21% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 21% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume42% above normal1.42× its 20-day average
Past year's range$56.01 – $229.96lowest to highest price
From its peak67.3% belowpeak $473.70, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.64 to 1$1.64 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$131.17the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)27.6oversold
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit469.4× last 12 months

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 61% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
27.6
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$195.34
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$160.89
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$195.65
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$154.13
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-7.75
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.42×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$11.48
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 59 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file